Thursday 30 June 2016

China To Let Yuan Fall To 6.8 Per Dollar In 2016



In its bid to support the economy, which will allow the Yuan to match 2015 record decline of 4.5 percent policy, China’s central bank has announced its willingness to let the Yuan fall 6.8 per dollar.
The yuan is already trading at its lowest level in more than five years, so the central bank will aim to ensure a gradual decline for fear of triggering capital outflows and criticism from trading partners such as the United States, said government economists and advisers involved in regular policy discussions.
Presumptive U.S. Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump already has China in his sights, saying on Wednesday he would label China a currency manipulator if elected in November.
Investors keep a close watch when the yuan is in decline. A surprise devaluation of the yuan last August sent global markets into a spin on worries the world's second-biggest economy was in worst shape than Beijing had let on, prompting massive capital outflows as investors sought safe havens overseas.

"The central bank is willing to see yuan depreciation, as long as depreciation expectations are under control," said a government economist, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.
"The Brexit vote was a big shock. The market volatility may last for some time."

Other emerging market currencies have also fallen in the wake of Britain's vote to leave the European Union, but the yuan is the weakest major Asian currency against the dollar this year.
The currency CNY=CFXS fell as low as 6.6549 per dollar following the Reuters report, near a 5-1/2 year intraday low on Monday. State-owned banks were suspected of intervening to sell dollars, currency traders said.
At the low, the yuan had fallen about 2.4 percent this year.
After the report, the People's Bank of China, the central bank, said China had no intention to promote trade competitiveness through depreciation of the yuan, a comment that has also been made repeatedly by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang.
Without citing any media by name, it said on its website that some media continuously published "inaccurate information" on the yuan's exchange rate. These reports interrupt the normal operation of the market and help "speculative forces" short - or bet against - the yuan, it said.


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