U.S. wholesale inventories rose marginally in May as automobile stocks tumbled; suggesting inventory investment likely remained a drag on economic growth in the second quarter.
The Commerce Department said
on Tuesday that wholesale inventories edged up 0.1 percent. Inventories for
April were revised up to show a 0.7 percent gain instead of the previously
reported 0.6 percent increase.
Inventories are a key
component of gross domestic product changes. The component of wholesale
inventories that goes into the calculation of GDP - wholesale stocks excluding
autos - increased 0.4 percent in May.
Higher prices for
commodities, including petroleum, largely accounted for the gain in ex-autos
wholesale inventories in May.
As such, this will probably
not provide a boost to second-quarter GDP growth, when adjusted for inflation.
Inventory investment
subtracted just over two-tenths of a percentage point from GDP growth in the
first quarter, helping to hold back the rise in output to a 1.1 percent
annualized rate. Second-quarter GDP growth estimates are currently around a 2.4
percent rate.
A report last week showed
inventories at manufacturers slipped in May. Retail inventory data for May will
be published on Friday.
Inventories have weighed on
GDP growth since the third quarter of 2015 as businesses sell piles of unwanted
merchandise. Businesses accumulated record inventory in the first half of 2015,
which outstripped demand.
Though the pace of
accumulation slowed, inventories remained high in the second half of 2015 and
the first quarter of 2016.
In May, wholesale stocks of
petroleum increased 3.2 percent after rising 1.4 percent in April. Auto
inventories fell 1.9 percent, the biggest decline since September 2013, while
farm products inventories soared 5.9 percent.
Wholesalers are making some
progress in reducing the inventory glut. Sales at wholesalers increased 0.5
percent in May, adding to the prior month's 0.8 percent gain.
With sales rising for a
third straight month, it would take wholesalers 1.35 months to clear shelves,
down from 1.36 months in April. Sales were driven by an 5.6 percent surge in
petroleum, as well as electrical goods, which rose 2.4 percent.
Credit:CNBC
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