Oil prices rose on Monday,
lifted by reports of renewed talks by some members of the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to restrain output.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) crude futures were at $41.99 per barrel at 0643 GMT (2:43 a.m. ET), up 19
cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last close.
Brent futures were trading
at $44.42 per barrel, up 15 cents, or 0.34 percent.
The price rise came on the
back of renewed calls by some OPEC members to freeze production in a bid to
rein in output that has been consistently outpacing demand, a demand that
non-OPEC oil producing giant Russia was quick to dismiss.
"OPEC members including
Venezuela, Ecuador and Kuwait are said to be behind this latest reincarnation.
But just like previous endeavors, it seems doomed to fail," said Matt
Smith of ClipperData.
Yet in the absence of an
agreement, the crude and refined product glut is still weighing on markets.
In China, July fuel exports
rose over 50 percent from a year ago to a monthly record 4.57 million tonnes,
official data showed on Monday, as easing demand growth and a surplus in
refined oil products pushed refiners to increase shipments to overseas buyers.
Because of the fuel glut,
money managers have positioned themselves in expectation of lower prices,
raising the amount of short positions in WTI futures that would profit from
lower prices to a new all-time record.
"In response to the
negative market sentiment, parties such as hedge funds are once again taking
speculative positions on further oil price declines," Dutch bank ABN Amro
said on Monday.
Meanwhile, the amount of oil
rigs drilling in the United States rose to 381, the highest amount since March.
On the demand side, AB
Bernstein said that strong recent oil demand growth was set to weaken.
"In July following the
UK Brexit vote, the IMF downgraded global growth by 10 basis points in 2016 and
20 in 2017. This has negative implications for demand," the analysts said,
adding that oil demand growth would slow to around 1.1 percent in the second
half of 2016 and to below 1 percent next year.
Such a slowdown would likely
weigh on prices: "If record to near-record demand this summer for gasoline
and crude oil failed to eat into the supply glut, then what happens to the glut
once demand drops off this fall by around 1 million barrels per day?" asked
the U.S.-based Schork Report in a note, adding it was bearish in its oil price
outlook.
Credit:FOX TV
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