Investigation has shown that
household debt in the United States of America has climbed to the roof.
In the second quarter, total
household debt increased by $35 billion to $12.3 trillion, according to the New
York Fed's latest quarterly report on household debt. That increase was driven
by two categories: auto loans and credit cards.
While auto loans have been
rising at a steady clip for the past six years, rising credit-card balances are
a new development. After the recession, households cut back on credit-card use
until 2014. Since then, card balances have risen by about $70 billion.
The report underscores how
the nation's credit cycle has evolved, from broadly deleveraging in the
aftermath of the financial crisis to a renewed—but still tentative—embrace of
credit.
From 2008 to 2013, total
household debts dropped by more than $1.5 trillion. But first student-loan and
auto-loan balances began to rise, and then mortgages and finally credit cards.
Total household debt balances are now $400 billion below their 2008 peak.
Credit-card debt had
declined as households cut back on their use and as financial institutions cut
off credit. These effects were particularly pronounced among people with low
credit scores, where the number with a credit card declined by more than 10%,
according to a special New York Fed supplemental report on credit cards.
Now, credit cards are
returning among individuals with low credit or subprime credit scores below
660. Among people with credit scores between 620 and 660, the share that had a
credit card rose to 58.8% in 2015 from a low of 54.3% in 2013. Among those with
scores below 620, the number of people with a credit card increased to 50% from
a low of 45.6% two years ago. Both figures for 2015 are the highest since 2008.
By contrast, about 88% of
people with high credit scores have credit cards, a figure that has changed
little over the past decade.
Credit cards can be a
useful, if dangerous, tool. Moderate usage can help households smooth
consumption, but some come with high interest rates that can spiral out of
control. During the recession, many households had balances they couldn't repay
and delinquencies skyrocketed. For now, however, credit reports show little
sign of distress.
The report "highlights
a positive ongoing trend in household debt," said Donghoon Lee, a New York
Fed economist. "Delinquency rates continue to improve, even as credit has
become more widely available."
Less than 1% of credit card
balances are 90-180 days delinquent, the lowest on record in data going back to
2003. Severely derogatory balances, including those that have been written off by
banks, are at 6.2%, near the lowest levels in the available data.
Credit-card delinquencies
have improved along with most other types of debt. Only 1.8% of mortgage
balances were delinquent in the second quarter, the lowest percentage since
mid-2007. The number of new foreclosures on credit reports was the lowest in 18
years, the New York Fed said.
While debt delinquencies
have generally been improving, student loans have proved a stubborn exception.
About 11% of such loans are delinquent, a figure that has shown little
improvement in recent years.
The figures come from the
New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, which analyzes millions of credit records
from the consumer credit reporting agency Equifax.
Credit:Fox
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